An exclusive poll for Sky News has revealed deep divisions within the Conservative Party over Kemi Badenoch’s leadership, with half of all Tory members (50%) saying she should not lead the party into the next general election.
The survey found that only 46% of members want Badenoch to remain in place, while 49% believe she could be replaced before the polls. The findings come as Badenoch faces her first Conservative Party conference as leader amid growing concerns about the party’s electoral future.
According to the poll, Shadow Justice Secretary Robert Jenrick currently enjoys the strongest backing among potential successors, holding a seven-point lead over Badenoch among members when asked who they would prefer to lead the party.
The mood within the party appears pessimistic: just 14% of respondents believe the Conservatives will win a majority at the next election, while 34% expect the party to finish second.
Meanwhile, nearly two-thirds of members said they would support forming an electoral pact with Reform UK, highlighting fears of a possible right-wing split that could weaken the Conservatives further.
Sky News’ Chief Political Correspondent John Craig described the findings as “brutal for Kemi Badenoch,” noting that they reflect “a mood of gloom” among MPs who fear “a near wipe-out by Reform UK.”
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